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FIGHTING THE FAVOURITE | Is new market leader Delta Work a worthy bet in the Grand National market at 7-1?

Resident writer Reece Charlton debates whether Cross Country Chase winner Delta Work could strike as favourite in the Grand National

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Delta Work

The Grand National is less than two weeks away, with a new market favourite emerging in the ante-post market for the National Hunt showpiece.

Delta Work has taken the Gigginstown National torch from Tiger Roll, after getting the better of his stablemate in the Cross Country Chase at the Cheltenham Festival last month.

The gelding has been backed into single digits for the contest in the last few days, but is it worth siding with the favourite in this contest?

THREE OF THE LAST FIVE WINNERS WERE OWNED BY GIGGINSTOWN HOUSE STUD

While Tiger Roll did win the race twice for Gigginstown, he wasn’t the first to record victory for his connections.

Tiger Roll won as favourite for Gigginstown in the 2019 edition of the Grand National.

Aintree Racecourse, Aintree, UK. 6th Apr, 2019. The 2019 Grand National horse racing festival, day 3; Davy Russell acknowledges the applause of the crowd after winning the Grand National on Tiger Roll Credit: Action Plus Sports/Alamy Live News
The 2019 Grand National horse racing festival, day 3; Davy Russell acknowledges the applause of the crowd after winning the Grand National on Tiger Roll

Rule The World was Gigginstown’s first winner in the Grand National, striking in the 2016 edition for Mouse Morris.

The real interest in this stat is how many runners the owners have sent to this race in the same time period. Apart from the three runners that won the race, the other 23 runners have failed to finish in the top four.

11 OF THE LAST 13 WINNERS WERE HAVING THEIR FIRST START IN THE RACE

It seems inexperience in this contest seems to have benefited runners in recent years, with only Tiger Roll and Mon Mome claiming victory after featuring in the race previously.

Horse Racing - Aintree Grand National Meeting - Aintree Racecourse - 10/4/10 A.P McCoy wins the 4.15 John Smith's Grand National riding Don't Push it Mandatory Credit: Action Images / Carl Recine Favourite
Don’t Push It won as the favourite back in 2010

The likes of Don’t Push It, Ballabriggs and One For Arthur all won at the first attempt in the last 12 years and were all under the price of 14/1.

This does put some confidence in Delta Work and he could well be worth trusting in this contest.

IS HE WORTH BACKING?

Delta Work does carry form over 3m4f and he looks to be on the same route that Tiger Roll was a few years back.

While 8/1 doesn’t hint at value in a 40-runner race, the gelding clearly has some talent and his Grade 1 experience could benefit him here.

Gordon Elliot at the 2019 Cheltenham Festival at Cheltenham Racecourse in Cheltenham, Gloucestershire, England
Can Gordon Elliot win his third National in four renewals this weekend?

Delta Work is a deserving favourite for this contest following his recent performances, but whether he is backable at his current price is another debate.

Dominic Chapman is senior content writer at Low6 with a passion for horse racing. He provides a NAP and NB every day throughout the week on selected National Hunt and Flat cards in both Britain and Ireland. Additionally, he hosts the Paddock Picks Podcast with former Welsh Grand National-winning pilot, Charlie Poste - the pair interviewing and discussing current racing topics with a special guest every week.

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