Betting
Top 10: Value Picks for the Grand National Festival
Our team hunt through the cards for some nicely priced selections at this year’s Grand National Festival
Our team hunt through the cards for some nicely priced selections at this year’s Grand National Festival
Published
1 week agoon
Three days of action lie in wait at Aintree, with several Grade 1 events and The Grand National heading the cards at the Merseyside track.
The aintree.co.uk team have torn through the form and trends to offer their best selections for this season’s event.
Here are our 10 tips for this year’s Grand National Festival.
Alan King’s eight-year-old sits at the enticing price of 40/1 for the biggest race of them all – and he could prove to be huge each-way value here.
The winner of the Grade 3 Rowland Meyrick Handicap Chase over the festive period, the gelding claimed success earlier on in the season in a novice handicap at Aintree in November.
If he can prove his staying ability over this distance, then he could well in the mix in the closing stages.
Labelled an exciting prospect when joining Nicky Henderson’s yard this season, things have not gone to plan so far this season for Paros.
It was hoped that he would the leading Triumph Hurdle chance for the Seven Barrows trainer, but two poor performances in average company brought an end to those hopes.
However, he produced a promising run on his last start, seeing off odds-on favourite Mackenberg by 5 ½ lengths.
James Bowen retains the ride after that success so if the four-year-old can continue to improve, he could well outrun his price tag here.
A persistent front-runner, Hughie Morrison’s star could produce another bold bid in Grade 1 company.
The dual Betfair Exchange Trophy winner gave a strong account in this season’s Champion Hurdle, finishing fifth at odds of 125/1.
It’s safe to say that this contest is not as strong as his last outing and hints each-way value at 28/1 if he can fend from the front.
Fergal O’Brien was unfortunate not to get his first success at the Cheltenham Festival this season, but he could easily bounce back with a Grade 1 success with Alaphilippe.
The seven-year-old claimed the Grade 2 Prestige Novices’ Hurdle in February before taking a creditable fifth in the Albert Bartlett last month.
At 14/1, he could hint as an each-way contender here at least.
Arguably one of the best rides of the Festival, Harry Cobden pushed Eldorado Allen to make up an immense amount of ground, staying on well to take second late on in the Arkle Chase.
The seven-year-old makes his return less than three weeks later and he could well go one better here in the first day’s opening race.
Colin Tizzard’s runner may have a different rider on board (in Jonjo O’Neill Jr) but he could push the likes of Hitman and Fusil Raffles all the way.
Henry De Bromhead’s gelding stood out in the novice chasing division last season, but he has struggled to replicate his form so far this season.
The eight-year-old could only manage seventh in the Champion Chase and his trainer has stepped him up in distance here in hope of reviving his winning ways.
12 of the last 18 winners of the Marsh Chase contested the Champion Chase, while 7 of the past 8 successors were in their first season out of novice company.
Notebook could be an outsider to consider here.
Gary Moore’s seven-year-old claimed his first win over fences at Newbury last month and he could continue his winning streak here.
French-bred runners have won six renewals of this contest since 2000, while five of the last six winners avoided the temptation of the Cheltenham Festival.
16 of the last 20 winners have been rated 139 or lower and Moore’s gelding holds an official rating of 132.
At 11/1, Editeur Du Gite could be an interesting contender in this contest.
Fiddlerontheroof ran a cracker in the Brown Advisory Novices’ Chase, finishing second at a huge price of 40/1.
He has been consistent so far this season, finishing in the top two in his six starts this season.
The 10 of the last 17 winners have been Irish-bred and 19 of the past 21 winners had run in at least four chases, two trends that Colin Tizzard’s gelding fits into.
If he can carry his form into this contest, then Fiddlerontheroof will be well in the mix here.
Nicky Henderson’s made eye-catching improvement in the late stages of the Paddy Power Chase at the Cheltenham Festival, making up ground through the large field to claim seventh.
The youngster could run a big race here at 12/1 and he fits some of the winning trends for the contest.
Five of the last seven winners were French-bred, while eight of the past 11 winners were unplaced on their last start.
10 of the last 20 winners headed to the Cheltenham Festival and five of the six previous winners were rated over 141.
Carrying an official rating of 152, Caribean Boy could be a real threat here.
Neil Mulholland’s novice was unfortunate to unseat his rider in the Premier Novices’ Hurdle at Kelso last month, but he could land his first Graded success here.
The six-year-old has progressed this year, claiming two wins and a place in three of his four starts over the smaller obstacles.
If he shows further promise here, he could be great value at 11/2.
ONE WEEK AGO TODAY: Rachael Blackmore makes history in Grand National
ONE WEEK AGO TODAY: Livelovelaugh toys with the Topham field
ONE WEEK AGO TODAY: Abacadabras takes the Aintree Hurdle
Getting To Know: James King
ON THIS DAY: Tiger Roll Lands First National Success in 2018
ON THIS DAY: Finian’s Oscar completes Grand National Festival double