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TOPHAM CHASE | Three stats you need to know for the Grade 3 contest

The aintree.co.uk team reveal a handful of stats that could help you make your picks for the Topham Chase at Aintree

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Horse Racing - Grand National Festival - Aintree Racecourse, Liverpool, Britain - April 9, 2021 Livelovelaugh ridden by Patrick Mullins win the 4:05 Randox Topham Handicap Chase Pool via REUTERS/Scott Heppell Antepost

The countdown to the Grand National meeting is in full swing, with the team beginning to look at the early entries of the Topham Chase.

The team has made the 2m5f Handicap Chase the centre of focus today, revealing some stats that could well help you make a decision on the contest.

Here are three trends to keep in mind when making your selections for the Topham Chase.

17 OF THE LAST 20 WINNERS HAD THREE OR MORE CHASE VICTORIES

This stat doesn’t help out market favourites Blackbow and Mister Coffey, as they have only managed to chalk up two chase victories between them to date.

The only runner in recent times to defy this stat was last year’s winner Livelovelaugh, who had only one chase success to his name before heading to Aintree.

WATCH: LIVELOVELAUGH WINS THE 2021 TOPHAM CHASE FOR WILLIE MULLINS [CREDIT: RACING TV]

While the recent records of Willie Mullins and Nicky Henderson hold some interest (the two trainers have won five of the last eight renewals between them), the experience of success over the larger obstacles seems a necessity to win here and so it could be worth looking at other options here.

ONLY ONE FAVOURITE HAS WON IN THE LAST 20 RENEWALS

Mainly due to the large number of runners that feature in this contest, only one favourite has claimed success in this race since 2001.

Five-year-old Gwanako defied several trends to land success in 2008 for Paul Nicholls, winning as joint-favourite at odds of 7/1.

In fact, only two favourites have finished in the top four in the last 13 runnings of the contest.

FIVE OF THE LAST SEVEN WINNERS RAN AT THE CHELTENHAM FESTIVAL LAST TIME OUT

It’s a trend that seems to be falling slightly out of favour, but it still holds some relevance in this contest.

Before Cadmium and Livelovelaugh struck for Willie Mullins in 2019 + 2021, all the winners of this race between 2014 and 2018 ran at the Festival.

Willie Mullins Topham Chase
Willie Mullins Willie Mullins has won the last two renewals of the Topham Chase

Ma Filleule (3m½f Handicap Chase), Rajdhani Express (Festival Plate), Eastlake (Grand Annual) and Ultragold (Grand Annual + Festival Plate) all ran at the Gloucestershire circuit the month before winning the Topham Chase.

There are several entrants this time around that featured at Prestbury Park last month. Mister Coffey finished second in the Kim Muir last time out, Bussleton finished a distant second in the Turners and Spiritofthegames ran into third in the Plate.

Reece Charlton is a Content Writer at Low6 that specializes in horse racing. He is an avid hunter of value in the racing world, picking out longshots six days a week across the National Hunt and Flat cards on offer across the UK and Ireland. He keeps punters and race fans in the know with his racing expertise with previews and value picks for all the big cards and meetings.

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